Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 September 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
3 to 9 Sep 2025
Respondents
1,460
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%±0
  • AfD25.0%±0
  • SPD15.0%+1.0
  • Grüne11.0%-1.0
  • Linke11.0%+1.0
  • BSW4.0%+1.0
  • FDP3.0%-1.0
  • Others5.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 Aug 2025.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,460 people were surveyed from 3 to 9 Sep 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 Aug 2025, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Sep 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke +0.6average 10.4
  • CDU/CSU -0.3average 26.3
  • Grüne -0.3average 11.3
  • FDP -0.3average 3.3
  • SPD +0.2average 14.8
  • AfD +0.1average 24.9
  • BSW -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 186 seatsAfD: 179 seatsSPD: 107 seatsGrüne: 79 seatsLinke: 79 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU186
  • AfD179
  • SPD107
  • Grüne79
  • Linke79
  • CDU/CSU + AfD365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne372 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke372 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne365 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke365 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke344 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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