Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 August 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 12 Aug 2025
- Respondents
- 1,464
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- AfD25.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- BSW3.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 Aug 2025.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,464 people were surveyed from 6 to 12 Aug 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 Aug 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Aug 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 26.9
- AfD +0.9average 24.1
- BSW -0.9average 3.9
- FDP +0.6average 3.4
- SPD -0.3average 14.3
- Grüne +0.2average 11.8
- Linke -0.1average 10.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU189
- AfD181
- SPD101
- Grüne87
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne377 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne369 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke348 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.