Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 August 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 29 Jul 2025
- Respondents
- 1,473
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
- AfD24.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%-1.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke11.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- BSW3.0%-1.0
- Others5.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 Jun 2025.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,473 people were surveyed from 23 to 29 Jul 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 Jun 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Aug 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -0.8average 3.8
- CDU/CSU -0.7average 27.7
- FDP +0.7average 3.3
- Linke +0.6average 10.4
- SPD -0.3average 14.3
- Grüne +0.3average 11.7
- AfD +0.2average 23.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU193
- AfD172
- SPD100
- Grüne86
- Linke79
- CDU/CSU + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke372 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne358 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke351 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke337 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.