Single poll
Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 June 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 11 to 17 Jun 2025
- Respondents
- 1,462
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,462 people were surveyed from 11 to 17 Jun 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 May 2025, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Jun 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU +0.6average 27.4
- Grüne +0.5average 11.5
- FDP -0.4average 3.4
- SPD -0.2average 15.2
- AfD +0.1average 22.9
- Linke +0.1average 9.9
- BSW -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU200
- AfD165
- SPD107
- Grüne86
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne393 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke379 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke358 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne358 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke344 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke323 of 630
More
More polls
← Verian (Emnid), 21 May 2025Verian (Emnid), 1 Aug 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.