Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 May 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 20 May 2025
- Respondents
- 1,468
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- AfD23.0%-1.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne12.0%±0
- Linke11.0%+2.0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others6.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 Apr 2025.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 23.0%. 1,468 people were surveyed from 14 to 20 May 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 Apr 2025, Linke gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 21 May 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.2average 24.2
- Linke +1.0average 10.0
- FDP -0.6average 3.6
- Grüne +0.5average 11.5
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 26.3
- SPD -0.3average 15.3
- BSW -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU188
- AfD166
- SPD109
- Grüne87
- Linke80
- CDU/CSU + AfD354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke377 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke355 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke355 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.