Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 April 2025 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
15 to 22 Apr 2025
Respondents
1,469
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
  • AfD24.0%+2.0
  • SPD16.0%+1.0
  • Grüne12.0%-1.0
  • Linke9.0%-1.0
  • BSW4.0%±0
  • FDP3.0%±0
  • Others6.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 Mar 2025.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 24.0%. 1,469 people were surveyed from 15 to 22 Apr 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 Mar 2025, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Apr 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • Linke -1.0average 10.0
  • FDP -0.8average 3.8
  • SPD +0.6average 15.4
  • Grüne +0.6average 11.4
  • CDU/CSU +0.4average 25.6
  • AfD -0.4average 24.4
  • BSW -0.3average 4.3
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 188 seatsAfD: 174 seatsSPD: 116 seatsGrüne: 87 seatsLinke: 65 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU188
  • AfD174
  • SPD116
  • Grüne87
  • Linke65
  • CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne391 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Grüne377 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke369 of 630
  • AfD + SPD + Linke355 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
  • AfD + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

Table as CSV

To download we need your e-mail address once. After that every table on the site downloads directly.