Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 March 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 19 to 25 Mar 2025
- Respondents
- 1,381
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%-3.0
- AfD22.0%+2.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%-1.0
- Linke10.0%+6.0
- BSW4.0%-1.0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Others6.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 31 Jan 2025.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,381 people were surveyed from 19 to 25 Mar 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 31 Jan 2025, Linke gains 6.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, AfD gains 2.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Mar 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 28.5
- Linke +1.3average 8.7
- FDP -0.8average 3.8
- Grüne +0.6average 12.4
- AfD +0.5average 21.5
- SPD -0.4average 15.4
- BSW -0.4average 4.4
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU196
- AfD159
- SPD109
- Grüne94
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne399 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke362 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne362 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke340 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke325 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.