Single poll
Verian (Emnid) poll of 31 January 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 22 to 28 Jan 2025
- Respondents
- 1,461
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,461 people were surveyed from 22 to 28 Jan 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 20 Dec 2024, AfD gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 31 Jan 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -0.8average 15.8
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 30.5
- AfD -0.5average 20.5
- Grüne +0.4average 13.6
- BSW +0.2average 4.8
- FDP +0.1average 3.9
- Linke ±0average 4.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU225
- AfD150
- SPD113
- Grüne105
- BSW37
- CDU/CSU + AfD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne330 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne368 of 630
More
More polls
← Verian (Emnid), 20 Dec 2024Verian (Emnid), 28 Mar 2025 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2025
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.