Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 October 2025 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Sep 2025 to 7 Oct 2025
- Respondents
- 1,478
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
- AfD25.0%±0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne12.0%+1.0
- Linke10.0%-1.0
- BSW4.0%±0
- FDP3.0%±0
- Others6.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 Sep 2025.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 25.0%. 1,478 people were surveyed from 30 Sep 2025 to 7 Oct 2025, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 Sep 2025, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Oct 2025. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +0.8average 11.2
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 25.6
- Linke -0.6average 10.6
- AfD -0.5average 25.5
- FDP -0.5average 3.5
- SPD +0.3average 14.7
- BSW +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU181
- AfD181
- SPD109
- Grüne87
- Linke72
- CDU/CSU + AfD362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne377 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne377 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Linke362 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.