Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 November 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 26 Nov 2024
- Respondents
- 1,432
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU32.0%±0
- AfD18.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne13.0%+2.0
- BSW6.0%-2.0
- FDP4.0%+1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others9.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 Nov 2024.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,432 people were surveyed from 20 to 26 Nov 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 Nov 2024, Grüne gains 2.0 points, BSW loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Nov 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.4average 11.6
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 33.2
- AfD -0.4average 18.4
- BSW -0.3average 6.3
- Linke -0.3average 3.3
- FDP -0.2average 4.2
- SPD ±0average 15.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU240
- AfD135
- SPD113
- Grüne97
- BSW45
- CDU/CSU + AfD375 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne337 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne345 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.