Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 November 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 29 Oct 2024
- Respondents
- 1,443
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU32.0%+1.0
- AfD17.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne11.0%±0
- BSW8.0%+1.0
- FDP3.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others10.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 Oct 2024.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 32.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 1,443 people were surveyed from 23 to 29 Oct 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 Oct 2024, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Nov 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- FDP -1.1average 4.1
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 32.6
- AfD -0.6average 17.6
- SPD +0.6average 15.4
- Grüne +0.3average 10.7
- BSW +0.2average 7.8
- Linke +0.1average 2.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU240
- AfD127
- SPD120
- Grüne83
- BSW60
- CDU/CSU + AfD367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne323 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne330 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.