Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 September 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 28 Aug 2024 to 3 Sep 2024
- Respondents
- 1,427
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%±0
- AfD17.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%-1.0
- Grüne12.0%-1.0
- BSW8.0%+1.0
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others10.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 Aug 2024.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 1,427 people were surveyed from 28 Aug 2024 to 3 Sep 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 Aug 2024, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 Sep 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 32.1
- FDP -0.7average 4.7
- Grüne +0.5average 11.5
- AfD -0.3average 17.3
- SPD +0.2average 14.8
- BSW +0.2average 7.8
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU235
- AfD129
- SPD114
- Grüne91
- BSW61
- CDU/CSU + AfD364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne326 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne334 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.