Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 August 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 31 Jul 2024 to 6 Aug 2024
- Respondents
- 1,449
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%±0
- SPD16.0%+1.0
- AfD16.0%±0
- Grüne13.0%±0
- BSW7.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others9.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 Jul 2024.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 1,449 people were surveyed from 31 Jul 2024 to 6 Aug 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 Jul 2024, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Aug 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.2average 11.8
- SPD +1.1average 14.9
- AfD -1.1average 17.1
- BSW -1.1average 8.1
- FDP -0.1average 5.1
- CDU/CSU ±0average 31.0
- Linke ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU222
- SPD115
- AfD114
- Grüne93
- BSW50
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.