Single poll
Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 June 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 11 Jun 2024
- Respondents
- 1,425
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 17.0%. 1,425 people were surveyed from 5 to 11 Jun 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 17 May 2024, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Jun 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +0.6average 16.4
- BSW -0.6average 6.6
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 30.4
- SPD +0.3average 15.7
- Freie Wähler +0.3average 2.7
- Linke -0.2average 3.2
- Grüne -0.1average 13.1
- FDP ±0average 5.0
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU218
- AfD123
- SPD116
- Grüne94
- BSW43
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD341 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP348 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne333 of 630
More
More polls
← Verian (Emnid), 17 May 2024Verian (Emnid), 12 Jul 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.