Single poll
Verian (Emnid) poll of 17 May 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 14 May 2024
- Respondents
- 1,506
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 16.0%. 1,506 people were surveyed from 7 to 14 May 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 Apr 2024, AfD loses 2.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 May 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.1average 17.1
- BSW -1.1average 6.1
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 30.8
- Linke +0.7average 3.3
- Freie Wähler +0.5average 2.5
- SPD +0.4average 15.6
- Grüne +0.2average 13.8
- FDP +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU220
- SPD117
- AfD117
- Grüne102
- FDP37
- BSW37
- CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne336 of 630
More
More polls
← Verian (Emnid), 19 Apr 2024Verian (Emnid), 12 Jun 2024 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2024
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.