Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 April 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 10 to 16 Apr 2024
- Respondents
- 1,445
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- AfD18.0%±0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- BSW5.0%±0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others6.0%-2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Mar 2024.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,445 people were surveyed from 10 to 16 Apr 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Mar 2024, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Apr 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- BSW -1.3average 6.3
- AfD +0.6average 17.4
- Grüne +0.5average 13.5
- Freie Wähler +0.4average 2.6
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 30.3
- Linke -0.3average 3.3
- SPD +0.2average 15.8
- FDP +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU215
- AfD129
- SPD114
- Grüne100
- FDP36
- BSW36
- CDU/CSU + AfD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW351 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne343 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.