Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 March 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 19 Mar 2024
- Respondents
- 1,480
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%-1.0
- AfD18.0%±0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP5.0%±0
- BSW5.0%+1.0
- Linke3.0%±0
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Mar 2024.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 18.0%. 1,480 people were surveyed from 13 to 19 Mar 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Mar 2024, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, BSW gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Mar 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.6average 13.4
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 30.4
- BSW -1.2average 6.2
- SPD +0.9average 16.1
- FDP +0.6average 4.4
- AfD +0.3average 17.7
- Linke -0.1average 3.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU206
- AfD128
- SPD120
- Grüne106
- FDP35
- BSW35
- CDU/CSU + AfD334 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne354 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + BSW347 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.