Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 February 2024 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 20 Feb 2024
- Respondents
- 1,505
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- AfD19.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- BSW5.0%+2.0
- FDP4.0%±0
- Linke3.0%-1.0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 Jan 2024.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,505 people were surveyed from 14 to 20 Feb 2024, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 Jan 2024, BSW gains 2.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 1.9 points higher and BSW 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Feb 2024. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.9average 13.1
- BSW -1.6average 6.6
- CDU/CSU -1.3average 30.3
- SPD +1.0average 15.0
- FDP -0.6average 4.6
- Linke -0.2average 3.2
- AfD ±0average 19.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU218
- AfD142
- SPD120
- Grüne113
- BSW37
- CDU/CSU + AfD360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD338 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne331 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne375 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.