Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 December 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 7 to 13 Dec 2023
- Respondents
- 1,421
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- AfD21.0%+1.0
- SPD15.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others10.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 Dec 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,421 people were surveyed from 7 to 13 Dec 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 Dec 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Dec 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.3average 13.7
- FDP -1.2average 5.2
- AfD -1.0average 22.0
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 31.4
- Linke +0.4average 3.6
- SPD +0.2average 14.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU238
- AfD162
- SPD115
- Grüne115
- CDU/CSU + AfD400 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne353 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne392 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.