Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 December 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 29 Nov 2023 to 5 Dec 2023
- Respondents
- 1,402
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- AfD20.0%+1.0
- Grüne17.0%+1.0
- SPD14.0%-3.0
- FDP4.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others11.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Dec 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,402 people were surveyed from 29 Nov 2023 to 5 Dec 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Dec 2023, SPD loses 3.0 points, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 3.3 points higher and AfD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Dec 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +3.3average 13.7
- AfD -2.0average 22.0
- FDP -1.4average 5.4
- SPD -1.1average 15.1
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 30.6
- Linke +0.1average 3.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU233
- AfD156
- Grüne132
- SPD109
- CDU/CSU + AfD389 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne365 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD342 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD397 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.