Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 December 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 28 Nov 2023
- Respondents
- 1,806
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%±0
- AfD19.0%-1.0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne16.0%-1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others10.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 Nov 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,806 people were surveyed from 20 to 28 Nov 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 Nov 2023, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has AfD 2.6 points lower and Grüne 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Dec 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.6average 21.6
- Grüne +1.7average 14.3
- SPD +1.5average 15.5
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 30.1
- FDP -0.4average 5.4
- Linke ±0average 4.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU212
- AfD139
- SPD125
- Grüne117
- FDP37
- CDU/CSU + AfD351 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne329 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne381 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.