Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 November 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 21 Nov 2023
- Respondents
- 1,452
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%+1.0
- AfD20.0%±0
- Grüne17.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%±0
- FDP5.0%-1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others9.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 Nov 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,452 people were surveyed from 14 to 21 Nov 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 Nov 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.8 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Nov 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.8average 14.2
- AfD -1.1average 21.1
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 30.0
- FDP -0.5average 5.5
- SPD +0.4average 15.6
- Linke -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU210
- AfD145
- Grüne123
- SPD116
- FDP36
- CDU/CSU + AfD355 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD326 of 630
- AfD + Grüne + SPD384 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.