Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 November 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 14 Nov 2023
- Respondents
- 1,421
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- AfD20.0%±0
- SPD16.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Others10.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 Nov 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,421 people were surveyed from 8 to 14 Nov 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 Nov 2023, no party moves by more than one point.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.1 points lower and Grüne 1.7 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Nov 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.1average 30.1
- Grüne +1.7average 14.3
- AfD -0.9average 20.9
- FDP +0.6average 5.4
- SPD +0.4average 15.6
- Linke -0.1average 4.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- AfD147
- SPD117
- Grüne117
- FDP44
- CDU/CSU + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne381 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.