Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 November 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 25 Oct 2023 to 7 Nov 2023
- Respondents
- 1,443
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%+1.0
- AfD20.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- FDP6.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%±0
- Freie Wähler3.0%
- Others7.0%-3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 Nov 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,443 people were surveyed from 25 Oct 2023 to 7 Nov 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 4 Nov 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower and Grüne 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 11 Nov 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.0average 30.0
- Grüne +1.6average 14.4
- AfD -0.9average 20.9
- FDP +0.7average 5.3
- SPD +0.2average 15.8
- Linke -0.1average 4.1
- Freie Wähler ±0average 3.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- AfD147
- SPD117
- Grüne117
- FDP44
- CDU/CSU + AfD352 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne322 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne381 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.