Verian (Emnid) poll of 28 October 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 24 Oct 2023
- Respondents
- 1,422
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%-3.0
- AfD20.0%-1.0
- SPD16.0%+2.0
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- FDP5.0%±0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others10.0%+3.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 Oct 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,422 people were surveyed from 18 to 24 Oct 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 21 Oct 2023, CDU/CSU loses 3.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.1 points higher and CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 28 Oct 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.1average 13.9
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 29.7
- AfD -1.4average 21.4
- Linke +0.7average 4.3
- FDP -0.6average 5.6
- SPD +0.4average 15.6
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU196
- AfD140
- SPD112
- Grüne112
- FDP35
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + AfD336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne420 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke343 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.