Single poll
Verian (Emnid) poll of 14 October 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 27 Sep 2023 to 10 Oct 2023
- Respondents
- 1,386
- Method
- Telefonisch
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,386 people were surveyed from 27 Sep 2023 to 10 Oct 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 7 Oct 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Context
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 14 Oct 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -0.9average 16.9
- Grüne +0.7average 14.3
- CDU/CSU -0.4average 27.4
- Linke +0.4average 4.6
- AfD +0.3average 21.7
- Freie Wähler -0.3average 3.3
- FDP -0.1average 6.1
Seat projection
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU187
- AfD152
- SPD111
- Grüne104
- FDP41
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + AfD339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne402 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke333 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke326 of 630
More
More polls
← Verian (Emnid), 7 Oct 2023Verian (Emnid), 21 Oct 2023 →Average of all pollsters: BundestagSunday question BundestagChronicle 2023
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.