Verian (Emnid) poll of 23 September 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 19 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 1,370
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- AfD21.0%-1.0
- SPD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 Sep 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,370 people were surveyed from 13 to 19 Sep 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 Sep 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 23 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -0.7average 21.7
- Grüne +0.7average 14.3
- Linke -0.7average 4.7
- FDP +0.5average 6.5
- CDU/CSU -0.2average 27.2
- SPD -0.2average 17.2
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU195
- AfD152
- SPD123
- Grüne109
- FDP51
- CDU/CSU + AfD347 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne384 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP355 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP326 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.