Verian (Emnid) poll of 16 September 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 6 to 12 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 1,442
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- AfD22.0%+1.0
- SPD16.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Sep 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 22.0%. 1,442 people were surveyed from 6 to 12 Sep 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 Sep 2023, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 16 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.6average 17.6
- CDU/CSU -1.0average 27.0
- AfD +1.0average 21.0
- Grüne +0.7average 14.3
- Linke +0.3average 4.7
- FDP +0.2average 6.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU180
- AfD152
- SPD111
- Grüne104
- FDP48
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + AfD332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne395 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne367 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP339 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP332 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke326 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke319 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.