Verian (Emnid) poll of 9 September 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 30 Aug 2023 to 5 Sep 2023
- Respondents
- 1,441
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%+1.0
- AfD21.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others10.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Sep 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 21.0%. 1,441 people were surveyed from 30 Aug 2023 to 5 Sep 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 Sep 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 9 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.1average 27.1
- Grüne +1.0average 14.0
- FDP -0.9average 6.9
- SPD -0.8average 17.8
- Linke +0.3average 4.7
- AfD ±0average 21.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU182
- AfD147
- SPD119
- Grüne105
- FDP42
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + AfD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne406 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.