Verian (Emnid) poll of 2 September 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 29 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 1,330
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU25.0%-1.0
- AfD20.0%±0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne15.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others10.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 Aug 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 25.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,330 people were surveyed from 23 to 29 Aug 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 Aug 2023, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 2 Sep 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.8average 26.8
- AfD -1.0average 21.0
- Grüne +0.9average 14.1
- Linke +0.3average 4.7
- FDP +0.1average 6.9
- SPD ±0average 18.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU175
- AfD140
- SPD126
- Grüne105
- FDP49
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD441 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne420 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne406 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne371 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.