Verian (Emnid) poll of 26 August 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 16 to 22 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 1,435
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- AfD20.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne14.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others10.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 Aug 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,435 people were surveyed from 16 to 22 Aug 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 Aug 2023, AfD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 26 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -0.7average 20.7
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 26.6
- SPD -0.2average 18.2
- Grüne -0.2average 14.2
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
- FDP +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU182
- AfD140
- SPD126
- Grüne98
- FDP49
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + AfD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne406 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.