Verian (Emnid) poll of 19 August 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 15 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 1,426
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- AfD19.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%-1.0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Linke5.0%-1.0
- Others10.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 Aug 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,426 people were surveyed from 9 to 15 Aug 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 Aug 2023, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has AfD 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 19 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -1.7average 20.7
- CDU/CSU -0.5average 26.5
- Grüne +0.5average 14.5
- Linke +0.3average 4.7
- SPD -0.1average 18.1
- FDP ±0average 7.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU182
- AfD133
- SPD126
- Grüne105
- FDP49
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD441 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne420 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne413 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP364 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.