Verian (Emnid) poll of 12 August 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 1 to 8 Aug 2023
- Respondents
- 1,330
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- SPD19.0%±0
- AfD18.0%-1.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- FDP6.0%±0
- Linke6.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 Aug 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,330 people were surveyed from 1 to 8 Aug 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 5 Aug 2023, AfD loses 1.0 points, Linke gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has AfD 2.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 12 Aug 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD -2.7average 20.7
- Grüne +1.4average 14.6
- Linke +1.4average 4.6
- SPD +0.9average 18.1
- FDP -0.9average 6.9
- CDU/CSU +0.5average 26.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- SPD130
- AfD123
- Grüne110
- FDP41
- Linke41
- CDU/CSU + SPD + AfD438 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne425 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne418 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke336 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.