Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 July 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 12 to 18 Jul 2023
- Respondents
- 1,403
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%±0
- AfD20.0%±0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- Grüne16.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 Jul 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,403 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 Jul 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 Jul 2023, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Jul 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.4average 14.6
- CDU/CSU -0.8average 26.8
- Linke +0.4average 4.6
- AfD -0.3average 20.3
- SPD -0.3average 18.3
- FDP +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU178
- AfD137
- SPD123
- Grüne110
- FDP48
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD438 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne425 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne411 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.