Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 July 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 13 to 19 Jul 2023
- Respondents
- 1,402
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%+1.0
- AfD20.0%±0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- FDP6.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Jul 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,402 people were surveyed from 13 to 19 Jul 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Jul 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Jul 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.6average 14.4
- FDP -0.8average 6.8
- AfD -0.3average 20.3
- SPD -0.3average 18.3
- Linke +0.3average 4.7
- CDU/CSU +0.2average 26.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- AfD137
- SPD123
- Grüne110
- FDP41
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + AfD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne418 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne370 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.