Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 July 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 20 to 27 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 1,408
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU26.0%-1.0
- AfD19.0%-1.0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others10.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 Jun 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 26.0%, followed by AfD on 19.0%. 1,408 people were surveyed from 20 to 27 Jun 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 Jun 2023, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, AfD loses 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.5 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Jul 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.5average 27.5
- SPD -0.8average 18.8
- AfD -0.3average 19.3
- Grüne +0.3average 14.7
- FDP +0.3average 6.7
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU182
- AfD133
- SPD126
- Grüne105
- FDP49
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + AfD + SPD441 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne420 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Grüne413 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP364 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne364 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + FDP357 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke350 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD + Linke343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.