Verian (Emnid) poll of 24 June 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 20 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 1,406
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- AfD20.0%+1.0
- SPD19.0%-1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP7.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 17 Jun 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by AfD on 20.0%. 1,406 people were surveyed from 14 to 20 Jun 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 17 Jun 2023, AfD gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 24 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- AfD +1.2average 18.8
- CDU/CSU -0.9average 27.9
- Linke -0.7average 4.7
- Grüne +0.5average 14.5
- SPD +0.1average 18.9
- FDP +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- AfD143
- SPD136
- Grüne107
- FDP50
- CDU/CSU + AfD337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD330 of 630
- AfD + SPD + Grüne386 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP351 of 630
- AfD + SPD + FDP329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.