Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 17 June 2023 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
6 to 13 Jun 2023
Respondents
1,387
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU27.0%±0
  • SPD20.0%±0
  • AfD19.0%+1.0
  • Grüne15.0%±0
  • FDP6.0%-1.0
  • Linke5.0%±0
  • Others8.0%±0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 Jun 2023.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,387 people were surveyed from 6 to 13 Jun 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 Jun 2023, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 17 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -1.2average 28.2
  • FDP -1.1average 7.1
  • SPD +1.0average 19.0
  • Grüne +0.6average 14.4
  • AfD +0.4average 18.6
  • Linke +0.3average 4.7
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 185 seatsSPD: 137 seatsAfD: 130 seatsGrüne: 103 seatsFDP: 41 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU185
  • SPD137
  • AfD130
  • Grüne103
  • FDP41
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne418 of 630
  • SPD + AfD + Grüne370 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke349 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP329 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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