Verian (Emnid) poll of 10 June 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 31 May 2023 to 6 Jun 2023
- Respondents
- 1,402
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- SPD20.0%±0
- AfD18.0%+1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP7.0%-1.0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 3 Jun 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,402 people were surveyed from 31 May 2023 to 6 Jun 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 3 Jun 2023, AfD gains 1.0 points, FDP loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 1.7 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 10 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.7average 28.7
- SPD +0.9average 19.1
- Grüne +0.8average 14.2
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
- AfD -0.1average 18.1
- FDP -0.1average 7.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- SPD137
- AfD123
- Grüne103
- FDP48
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne411 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke342 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.