Verian (Emnid) poll of 3 June 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 23 to 30 May 2023
- Respondents
- 1,379
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%-2.0
- SPD20.0%+2.0
- AfD17.0%+1.0
- Grüne15.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 May 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,379 people were surveyed from 23 to 30 May 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 27 May 2023, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 3 Jun 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.0average 29.0
- SPD +1.4average 18.6
- FDP +0.7average 7.3
- AfD -0.3average 17.3
- Grüne +0.2average 14.8
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- SPD137
- AfD116
- Grüne103
- FDP55
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Grüne404 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP356 of 630
- SPD + AfD + Grüne356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke335 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke322 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.