Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 May 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 3 to 9 May 2023
- Respondents
- 1,405
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU29.0%-2.0
- SPD18.0%+1.0
- Grüne17.0%+1.0
- AfD16.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others7.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 May 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,405 people were surveyed from 3 to 9 May 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 May 2023, CDU/CSU loses 2.0 points, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 13 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +1.6average 15.4
- SPD -1.3average 19.3
- FDP +0.4average 7.6
- CDU/CSU -0.3average 29.3
- Linke +0.3average 4.7
- AfD +0.2average 15.8
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU197
- SPD122
- Grüne115
- AfD108
- FDP54
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD420 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP366 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP359 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke346 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD345 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke339 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.