Verian (Emnid) poll of 20 May 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 9 to 16 May 2023
- Respondents
- 1,401
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%-1.0
- SPD18.0%±0
- Grüne16.0%-1.0
- AfD16.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%+2.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 May 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,401 people were surveyed from 9 to 16 May 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 13 May 2023, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 20 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -1.4average 29.4
- SPD -0.6average 18.6
- Grüne +0.6average 15.4
- FDP +0.3average 7.7
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
- AfD +0.1average 15.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- SPD124
- Grüne111
- AfD111
- FDP55
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + SPD318 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD416 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP360 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP360 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke340 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.