Verian (Emnid) poll of 6 May 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 26 Apr 2023 to 2 May 2023
- Respondents
- 1,394
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU31.0%+1.0
- SPD17.0%-1.0
- Grüne16.0%±0
- AfD16.0%±0
- FDP8.0%+1.0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 Apr 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 31.0%, followed by SPD on 17.0%. 1,394 people were surveyed from 26 Apr 2023 to 2 May 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 Apr 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, FDP gains 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 2.3 points lower and CDU/CSU 1.6 points higher.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 6 May 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.3average 19.3
- CDU/CSU +1.6average 29.4
- FDP +0.6average 7.4
- Linke -0.5average 4.5
- Grüne +0.3average 15.7
- AfD +0.3average 15.7
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU222
- SPD122
- Grüne115
- AfD114
- FDP57
- CDU/CSU + SPD344 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne337 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD336 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD351 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.