Verian (Emnid) poll of 29 April 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 18 to 25 Apr 2023
- Respondents
- 1,426
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU30.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- Grüne16.0%-1.0
- AfD16.0%+1.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%+1.0
- Others8.0%-1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Apr 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 30.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,426 people were surveyed from 18 to 25 Apr 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 Apr 2023, CDU/CSU gains 1.0 points, SPD loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 1.8 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 29 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.8average 19.8
- CDU/CSU +0.8average 29.2
- AfD +0.7average 15.3
- Linke +0.6average 4.4
- Grüne -0.1average 16.1
- FDP -0.1average 7.1
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU205
- SPD123
- Grüne110
- AfD110
- FDP48
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD328 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD425 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP363 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke349 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD343 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.