Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 22 April 2023 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
12 to 18 Apr 2023
Respondents
1,407
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU29.0%+2.0
  • SPD19.0%-2.0
  • Grüne17.0%±0
  • AfD15.0%+1.0
  • FDP7.0%-1.0
  • Linke4.0%-1.0
  • Others9.0%+1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 Apr 2023.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 29.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,407 people were surveyed from 12 to 18 Apr 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 Apr 2023, CDU/CSU gains 2.0 points, SPD loses 2.0 points, AfD gains 1.0 points.

All parties are within 1.5 points of the average of the other pollsters.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 22 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • SPD -1.0average 20.0
  • Grüne +0.7average 16.3
  • Linke -0.3average 4.3
  • AfD -0.2average 15.2
  • CDU/CSU -0.1average 29.1
  • FDP +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 210 seatsSPD: 137 seatsGrüne: 123 seatsAfD: 109 seatsFDP: 51 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU210
  • SPD137
  • Grüne123
  • AfD109
  • FDP51
  • CDU/CSU + SPD347 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne333 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD319 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD369 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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