Verian (Emnid) poll of 15 April 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 5 to 11 Apr 2023
- Respondents
- 1,367
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU27.0%±0
- SPD21.0%+1.0
- Grüne17.0%-1.0
- AfD14.0%±0
- FDP8.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 Apr 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 21.0%. 1,367 people were surveyed from 5 to 11 Apr 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 Apr 2023, SPD gains 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.1 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 15 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- CDU/CSU -2.1average 29.1
- AfD -1.1average 15.1
- FDP +1.0average 7.0
- SPD +0.9average 20.1
- Grüne +0.7average 16.3
- Linke +0.5average 4.5
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU185
- SPD144
- Grüne116
- AfD96
- FDP55
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD329 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD397 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP356 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP336 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke335 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.