Single poll

Verian (Emnid) poll of 8 April 2023 for the federal election

Commissioned by
FOCUS
Fieldwork period
29 Mar 2023 to 4 Apr 2023
Respondents
1,269
Method
Telefonisch
  • CDU/CSU27.0%-1.0
  • SPD20.0%+2.0
  • Grüne18.0%-1.0
  • AfD14.0%-1.0
  • FDP8.0%+1.0
  • Linke5.0%+1.0
  • Others8.0%-1.0

Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 Apr 2023.

In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 27.0%, followed by SPD on 20.0%. 1,269 people were surveyed from 29 Mar 2023 to 4 Apr 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.

Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 Apr 2023, SPD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.

Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU 2.2 points lower and Grüne 1.6 points higher.

Context

Deviation from the average of the other pollsters

Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 8 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.

  • CDU/CSU -2.2average 29.2
  • Grüne +1.6average 16.4
  • AfD -1.1average 15.1
  • FDP +1.1average 6.9
  • Linke +0.6average 4.4
  • SPD +0.1average 19.9
Seat projection

Seat projection from this poll

630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.

CDU/CSU: 185 seatsSPD: 137 seatsGrüne: 123 seatsAfD: 96 seatsFDP: 55 seatsLinke: 34 seatsMajority from 316630of 630 seats
  • CDU/CSU185
  • SPD137
  • Grüne123
  • AfD96
  • FDP55
  • Linke34
  • CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD404 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP363 of 630
  • SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke342 of 630
  • CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP336 of 630
More

More polls

Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.

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