Verian (Emnid) poll of 1 April 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 21 to 28 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 1,387
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- Grüne19.0%+1.0
- SPD18.0%±0
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke4.0%-1.0
- Others9.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 Mar 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by Grüne on 19.0%. 1,387 people were surveyed from 21 to 28 Mar 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 Mar 2023, Grüne gains 1.0 points, Linke loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has Grüne 2.4 points higher and SPD 2.0 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 1 Apr 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- Grüne +2.4average 16.6
- SPD -2.0average 20.0
- Linke -0.8average 4.8
- CDU/CSU -0.6average 28.6
- AfD -0.1average 15.1
- FDP +0.1average 6.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU203
- Grüne137
- SPD130
- AfD109
- FDP51
- CDU/CSU + Grüne340 of 630
- CDU/CSU + SPD333 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + AfD376 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP363 of 630
- Grüne + SPD + FDP318 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.