Verian (Emnid) poll of 25 March 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 14 to 21 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 1,504
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%±0
- SPD18.0%-1.0
- Grüne18.0%±0
- AfD15.0%±0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others9.0%+1.0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 Mar 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 18.0%. 1,504 people were surveyed from 14 to 21 Mar 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 Mar 2023, SPD loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 2.3 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 25 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -2.3average 20.3
- Grüne +1.3average 16.7
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 29.2
- FDP +0.7average 6.3
- Linke +0.1average 4.9
- AfD ±0average 15.0
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU194
- SPD125
- Grüne124
- AfD104
- FDP48
- Linke35
- CDU/CSU + SPD319 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne318 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD353 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP346 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke333 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.