Verian (Emnid) poll of 18 March 2023 for the federal election
- Commissioned by
- FOCUS
- Fieldwork period
- 8 to 14 Mar 2023
- Respondents
- 1,423
- Method
- Telefonisch
- CDU/CSU28.0%-1.0
- SPD19.0%±0
- Grüne18.0%-1.0
- AfD15.0%+2.0
- FDP7.0%±0
- Linke5.0%±0
- Others8.0%±0
Dashed line: electoral threshold of 5%. Change compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 Mar 2023.
In this poll Verian (Emnid) has CDU/CSU ahead on 28.0%, followed by SPD on 19.0%. 1,423 people were surveyed from 8 to 14 Mar 2023, method Telefonisch, commissioned by FOCUS.
Compared with the previous Verian (Emnid) poll of 11 Mar 2023, AfD gains 2.0 points, CDU/CSU loses 1.0 points, Grüne loses 1.0 points.
Compared with the average of the other pollsters on the same day, Verian (Emnid) has SPD 1.6 points lower.
Deviation from the average of the other pollsters
Rolling 45-day average of the other pollsters on 18 Mar 2023. Positive: this poll is above it.
- SPD -1.6average 20.6
- Grüne +1.3average 16.7
- CDU/CSU -1.2average 29.2
- FDP +0.6average 6.4
- Linke +0.2average 4.8
- AfD +0.1average 14.9
Seat projection from this poll
630 seats by Sainte-Laguë, five per cent threshold, waived for parties winning at least three constituencies.
- CDU/CSU192
- SPD130
- Grüne123
- AfD103
- FDP48
- Linke34
- CDU/CSU + SPD322 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + AfD418 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + FDP363 of 630
- SPD + Grüne + AfD356 of 630
- CDU/CSU + Grüne + Linke349 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP343 of 630
- CDU/CSU + AfD + Linke329 of 630
More polls
Data from dawum.de (ODbL), analysis by wahlergebnisse.io. Individual polls carry a margin of error of roughly two to three points for the larger parties.